Analysis written on the chart. The basic idea is that is diverging with price action. is close to diverging, running flat on average over the same period due to a signal line crossover. Spikes in and price action suggests a “head and shoulders” pattern. If true, then the right “shoulder” could take the price down to the start of this pattern. Looking at the , there is a low area in the same zone. $6235 is chosen based on that area, plus the tail of the lowest hourly candle. This was the start of the pattern.
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